The Value of Yards, Plays, and Turnovers

Original Wages of Wins Model

Estimated with NFL team data from 1994 to 2004

Variable	Net Points	Wins	Value in Yards	Simple Model
Yards	0.0838	0.0022	1	1
Plays	-0.2239	-0.0059	-2.7	-3.0
Interceptions	-3.7438	-0.106	-44.7	-50.0
Fumbles Lost	-3.9914	-0.1136	-47.6	-50.0

The Value of Yards, Plays, and Turnovers

Paperback Wages of Wins Model

detailed in “Back to Back Evaluations on the Gridiron”

published in Statistical Thinking in Sports (edited by Jim Albert and Ruud Koning)

Estimated with NFL team data (and Football Outsiders data) from 1998 to 2005

Variable	Net Points	Wins	Value in Yards	Simple Model
Yards	0.0796	0.0021	1	1
Plays	-0.2140	-0.0057	-2.7	-3.0
Interceptions	-2.7453	-0.0777	-34.5	-30.0
Fumbles Lost	-2.8985	-0.0818	-36.4	-30.0