from The Wages of Wins
Table 9.9
p. 183
Percentage of Current Performance
We Can Explain With Past Performance
Sample: 277 quarterbacks from 1995-2004 who had at least 100 passes in successive seasons
|
Variable |
Explanatory Power (percent) |
|
Net points per play |
10.3 |
| QB Score per play | 9.5 |
|
Quarterback rating |
11.0 |
|
Completion percentage |
21.2 |
|
Passing yards per passing attempt |
16.5 |
|
Passing touchdowns per passing attempt |
6.5 |
|
Rushing yards per rushing attempt |
26.7 |
|
Rushing touchdowns per rushing attempt |
3.4 |
|
Interceptions per passing attempt |
1.1 |
| Fumbles per play | 1.0 |
|
Fumbles lost per play |
0.1 |
Percentage of Current Performance
We Can Explain With Past Performance
Sample: 110 quarterbacks from 2000-2005 who had at least 224 passes in successive seasons
|
Variable |
Explanatory Power (percent) |
|
Net Points per play |
14.7 |
|
Wins per play |
14.1 |
|
QB Score per play |
13.7 |
|
Quarterback rating |
14.4 |
|
VOA |
11.8 |
|
DVOA |
12.6 |